September 09, 2010

• Home
• Services
• About Us
• Contact Us
• Zogby Interactive
• Political Trends
• Coming Events
• Dear John
• Subscriber Login
• Daily Number

Former Vermont Governor Dr. Howard Dean has opened a large lead over his closest challenger in New Hampshire according to the newest poll by Zogby International.

Dean earned 40%, compared to Massachusetts Senator John Kerry's 17%. None of the other candidates have exceeded single digits in the polling. Retired General Wesley Clark and North Carolina Senator John Edwards are tied for third with 6% each.

Zogby International conducted interviews of 500 New Hampshire likely Democratic primary voters, chosen at random statewide. All calls were made from Zogby International's headquarters in Utica, NY from October 21-23, 2003. The margin of error is +/- 4.5%. Margins are higher in sub-groups. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, religion, and gender to more accurately reflect the voting population.

Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt received 4%, followed by Connecticut Senator Joseph Lieberman's 3%. Civil rights activist Rev. Al Sharpton, former Illinois Senator Carol Mosley Braun, and Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich each received less than one percent.

Just under one in five (19%) are not sure which candidate to support at this point. New Hampshire has the first-in-the-nation presidential primary on January 27, 2004, kicking off a number of state primaries throughout the late Winter and Spring.

Two-thirds (67%) say they are satisfied with the current field of Democratic candidates, while 28% wish other candidates were running.

Three in five (60%) of those Democrats and Independents polled say regardless of how they intend to vote, it is somewhat or very likely that President George W. Bush will be re-elected. Slightly more than one-third (37%) says that his re-election is not likely.

Just one in five (22%) of the Democrats and Independents polled describe President Bush's job performance as excellent or good, while 78% give him a 'fair' or 'poor' grade. Four in ten (40%) say they like the President as a person, and 43% say they dislike him.

A majority (54%) of likely voters in the Granite State's primary say Democrats should elect a moderate centrist who can appeal to independents, while just over one in four (27%) would prefer a nominee who represents the Democratic wing of the Party.

More than half (57%) feel the Democrats should nominate someone with a political ideology closer to that of former president Clinton, while 24% feel the party should take on a more liberal leaning.

Nearly one in four (39%) think their candidate should be a lifelong Democrat, while 19% are willing to accept a recent convert, and 30% say it makes no difference.

A plurality (43%) would back a candidate who opposed the war in Iraq, while one-third (33%) would favor one who supported the war. Three-fourths would support a Democrat who supported the war effort, with just 9% saying they would be more likely to support President Bush.

Favorable/Unfavorable/Unfamiliar Ratings of Democratic Candidates (NH)

* FL Senator Bob Graham dropped out October 6, 2003

Pollster John Zogby: "This is stunning. Dean leads 43-20 among Democrats and 35 to 11 among Independents. He hits 40 among all age groups, union and non-union voters. His lead is 57-17 among self-described progressives, 50-20 among liberals, and 34-14 among moderates. Married voters give him a 38-13 edge and singles a 45-21 point lead. He holds huge leads among all education groups, among investors and non-investors, men and women. This qualifies as juggernaut status. Can he be stopped?"

Each question will include cross tabulations for the following subgroups: